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Daily DraftKings Picks: Saturday, Sep 27

Note from Bryan Curley: Because we only have two days of baseball left and because I can’t post on weekends, I figured what the hell — let’s allow a reader to weigh in! Below is Saturday’s Official Early Lineup courtesy of frequent reader/commenter Aaron Higa.

Saturday’s Official Lineup (Early Games)

Note: Lineup subject to change due to weather and released MLB lineups.

  • C: Yan Gomes (CLE) vs. A. Colome (TB) — $4,100
  • 1B: Carlos Santana (CLE) vs. A. Colome (TB) — $4,100
  • 2B: Mike Aviles (CLE) vs. A. Colome (TB) — $3,100
  • 3B: Hidden
  • SS: Jose Ramirez (CLE) vs. A. Colome (TB) — $2,900
  • OF: Michael Brantley (CLE) vs. A. Colome (TB) — $5,400
  • OF: Jose Bautista (TOR) vs. W. Chen (BAL) — $5,700
  • OF: Hidden
  • SP: Carlos Carrasco (CLE) vs. A. Colome (TB) — $9,800
  • SP: Hidden

With a shortage of big name options at many of the infield positions for the early games, it’s a great opportunity to spend on pitching. Carrasco has been on fire and is much cheaper than Masahiro Tanaka, and Carrasco should have a chance to redeem himself against the Rays and win the game going against Alex Colome. Note that Jake Peavy is a decent option and should be safe in 50/50s

Stephen Strasburg is also to be considered and he may or may not be in my early lineups.

For the hitters, Colome is pitching against the Indians. I’ll be sure to have some Indians in my lineups for this early afternoon, including Gomes, Santana, Aviles, Ramirez, and Brantley.

Safe Pitchers for H2H and Double-Up Play

If you only need to finish in the top 50%, safer plays are the way to go.

  • SP: Stephen Strasburg (WAS)
  • SP: Jake Peavy (SF)

Rather than list hitters, I’ll suggest where to look. The Pirates have been on fire as of late and if you just need points, you’ll get it with the Pirates facing Alfredo Simon. The non-prospects in the Nationals lineups can be targeted against Nathan Eovaldi.

High-Risk, High-Upside Pitchers for Multi-Player Play

You don’t win the big bucks without hitting on a few lottery ticket picks!

  • SP: Masahiro Tanaka (NYY)
  • SP: J.A. Happ (TOR)

It’s always a risk to pick Yankees but they’re facing Joe Kelly. Edwin Encarnacion and Bautista have HRs off Chen and are usable this afternoon.

Saturday Late Afternoon/Evening Games

For the late games, pitchers to keep in mind are C.J. Wilson, who has done well against the Mariners, and A.J. Burnett, going up against the Braves. As usual at this time of the year, watch out for teams resting players. You might want to start pitchers against these talent-lacking teams.

I would keep in mind a mix of Tigers, Phillies, and the lefty-mashers of Oakland. Also, targeting U.S. Cellular Field isn’t a bad idea.

Sunday Games

Alex Wood and Cole Hamels are facing each other and that makes both risky. Johnny Cueto could be going against a resting squad of the Pirates, especially if the Cardinals have locked up the division title. Bartolo Colon pitches well at Citi Field. Again, target the teams who are resting players for the playoffs.

Right now Adam Wainwright and Madison Bumgarner are listed as starters. Both could be rested for the playoffs.

Ditto on the hitters, this could be ugly and you should avoid playing on Sunday.


Daily DraftKings Picks: Friday, Sep 26

At long last, we have reached the end. This is the 112th Daily DraftKings/DraftStreet Picks article we’ve run this season. It’s been a hell of a ride for me with consistent bankroll growth early in the year and at the end with a late-summer swoon mixed in. I won the DraftStreet $10,000 Guaranteed contest back in June or July, which pretty much cemented a season in the black, and hopefully this last lineup gives me a solid close to what has been a very enjoyable season.

To those who have read or commented on this post on a regular basis, thank you. It gets boring typing up the same thing for six months, but your participation makes it all worth it. We’re planning on big changes to Baseball Professor this offseason, but I think it’s important to remember your roots and not abandon the people who helped you get to where you’re going, so this post will return next season regardless of any offseason modifications/improvements we make to the site. Again, thank you for what’s been an amazing season and I’m extremely confident 2015 will be even better.

As for this weekend, I’m not optimistic that I’ll be able to post anything, and if I do it’ll likely be a lineup with little or not analysis. This will be the final full write-up!

Now, as for yesterday’s Official Lineup — blah. Edinson Volquez, my hidden pitcher, was great. He’s been great for most of the season. Yusmeiro Petit was pretty solid, too. Victor Martinez and Miguel Cabrera killed it, but no one else did anything. I also didn’t get a chance to edit my original lineup and thus had both Travis d’Arnaud and Juan Lagares in there against Gio Gonzalez, neither of whom started the game. I only wagered $2 yesterday so this wasn’t a huge loss.

September 24

Thursday’s Official Lineup (click to enlarge)

Today it’s back to the full slate for our final post of 2014, and it looks like Mother Nature is going to help us celebrate. The weather looks clear in all cities! Unfortunately, today’s pitchers suck.

Friday’s Official DraftKings Lineup

Note: Lineup subject to change due to weather and released MLB lineups. Check back before contest lineups lock for our final lineup.

  • C: Jonathan Lucroy (MIL) vs. E. Jokisch (CHC) — $4,000
  • 1B: Hidden
  • 2B: Hidden
  • 3B: Xander Bogaerts (BOS) vs. C. Capuano (NYY) — $3,200
  • SS: Jake Smolinski (TEX) vs. S. Kazmir (OAK) — $4,100
  • OF: Yoenis Cespedes (BOS) vs. C. Capuano (NYY) — $4,600
  • OF: Mookie Betts (BOS) vs. C. Capuano (NYY) — $4,400
  • OF: Rusney Castill0 (BOS) vs. C. Capuano (NYY) — $2,600
  • SP: Corey Kluber (CLE) vs. C. Archer (TB) — $12,600
  • SP: Hidden

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Daily DraftKings Picks: Thursday, Sep 25

Would you believe the hardest part (for me) about playing on DraftKings is simply entering my lineup? For the third time this month, I failed to press the “Confirm Changes” button (or whatever it says) after editing my lineup. I guess you need to not only submit it but then confirm that you want to submit it. Not sure if this happens to anyone else, but it keeps tripping me up! Thankfully I only wagered $2 on yesterday’s games.

As a result my lineup has a David Ortiz-sized hole, plus Anthony Rendon, and I didn’t get my Blue Jays stack in there. Now that was probably for the best as I think this lineup even without two of its players outperformed what the Jays as a team did, but either way it wasn’t a great day for me. Merely average.

September 24

Wednesday’s Official Lineup (click to enlarge)

Today we have a pretty short slate with just eight games to choose from, and weather looks like it could be an issue in the TB@BOS game. It’s a good thing I want no part of those pitchers (Jeremy Hellickson @ Allen Webster). Rain will definitely be an issue in the BAL@NYY game. I’ll be avoiding that one.

Thursday’s Official DraftKings Lineup

Note: Lineup subject to change due to weather and released MLB lineups. Check back before contest lineups lock for our final lineup.

  • C: Hidden
  • 1B: Victor Martinez (DET) vs. T. May (MIN) — $4,400
  • 2B: Ian Kinsler (DET) vs. T. May (MIN) — $4,400
  • 3B: Miguel Cabrera (DET) vs. T. May (MIN) — $5,500
  • SS: Alexei Ramirez (CHW) vs. J. Shields (KC) — $3,700
  • OF: J.D. Martinez (DET) vs. T. May (MIN) — $4,700
  • OF: Torii Hunter (DET) vs. T. May (MIN) — $4,300
  • OF: Hidden
  • SP: Yusmeiro Petit (SF) vs. A. Cashner (SD) — $7,200
  • SP: Hidden

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Daily DraftKings Picks: Wednesday, Sep 24

I missed the cash all around yesterday. In the Official Lineup my offense was so-so but not what I paid for. I acknowledged risks with low-priced pitching and expected more out of my Tigers. Robbie Erlin, a staple of both lineups, only scored 4.2 points and didn’t crack 90 pitches. In fact in the comments section before yesterday’s games I wrote, “I waivered for a little only because Erlin may only throw like 85 pitches.” He threw 83. Two starts ago he only needed 83 pitches to score 20.30 points against the Phillies so I was hoping for 15+. He didn’t deliver. Shelby Miller was the same story as his seven-start streak of 6+ IP was broken (4.1 IP) and his three-start streak with no walks came to an end as well (2 BB).

Let’s take one final look before we move on to Wednesday’s picks!

September 23

Tuesday’s Official Lineup (left) and secondary lineup (right)

Today we have four early games, which eats into our late-game lineups. In the late games we have a potential weather problem in the NYM@WAS game (50% chance of rain), but the rest looks clear and ready to go. I’m tentatively allowing myself to pick that game, so changes may be in store later in the day.

Wednesday’s Official DraftKings Lineup

Note: Lineup subject to change due to weather and released MLB lineups. Check back before contest lineups lock for our final lineup.

  • C: Jonathan Lucroy (MIL) @ D. Corcino (CIN) — $4,000
  • 1B: David Ortiz (BOS) vs. J. Odorizzi (TB) — $4,800
  • 1B: Edwin Encarnacion (TOR) vs. T. Walker (SEA) — $5,200
  • 2B: Hidden
  • 3B: Hidden
  • SS: Ian Desmond (WAS) vs. D. Gee (NYM) — $4,900
  • SS: Jose Reyes (TOR) vs. T. Walker (SEA) — $4,900
  • OF: Yoenis Cespedes (BOS) vs. J. Odorizzi (TB) — $4,300
  • OF: Mookie Betts (BOS) vs. J. Odorizzi (TB) — $4,000
  • OF: Jose Bautista (TOR) vs. T. Walker (SEA) — $5,200
  • OF: Rusney Castillo (BOS) vs. J. Odorizzi (TB) — $2,500
  • OF: Bryce Brentz (BOS) vs. J. Odorizzi (TB) — $2,000
  • SP: Jake Arrieta (CHC) vs. J. Lackey (STL) — $9,600
  • SP: Hidden

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Daily DraftKings Picks: Tuesday, Sep 23

Yesterday my Pirates stack against Aaron Harang didn’t go as planned. A lone Andrew McCutchen homer was Pittsburgh’s offense, and that wasn’t enough to do anything meaningful for my squad. It was slim pickings on a short Monday so Danny Duffy performed to expectations, but I hoped for more out of Derek Holland. Overall my team scored 76.65 points, missing the century mark for the first time in awhile, and finished 3,66nd-of-5,750.

September 22

Monday’s Official Lineup (click to enlarge)

Today it’s back to a full slate and there’s no threatening weather on the horizon, so let’s get to our final Tuesday picks of the season!

Tuesday’s Official DraftKings Lineup

Note: Lineup subject to change due to weather and released MLB lineups. Check back before contest lineups lock for our final lineup.

  • C: Brian McCann (NYY) vs. U. Jimenez (BAL) — $3,700
  • 1B: Victor Martinez (DET) vs. S. Carroll (CHW) — $4,800
  • 2B: Ian Kinsler (DET) vs. S. Carroll (CHW) — $4,300
  • 3B: Miguel Cabrera (DET) vs. S. Carroll (CHW) — $5,500
  • SS: Hidden
  • OF: J.D. Martinez (DET) vs. S. Carroll (CHW) — $4,900
  • OF: Torii Hunter (DET) vs. S. Carroll (CHW) — $4,400
  • OF: Hidden
  • SP: Robbie Erlin (SD) vs. J. De La Rosa (COL) — $6,800
  • SP: Hidden

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