Few catchers can be counted upon to provide above average gains in multiple fantasy categories, but Miguel Montero is one of them. Despite the fact that his xBAs over the last three seasons haven’t topped .277, he’s been able to consistently outperform them to the tune of a .282 average during that span. Perhaps, like Matt Cain and FIP, Montero is one of the outliers that just don’t quite fit projection systems. Either way, he should provide a solid average, high teens in homers and at least 80 RBI as the cleanup hitter for the Diamondbacks. With Victor Martinez out for the season, good catchers are worth more than they were a few short weeks ago.
Best case scenario: Brian McCann (ATL)
Similar players: Alex Avila (DET), Matt Wieters (BAL), Logan Morrison (MIA)
Worst case scenario: John Buck (MIA)
Strengths
Lineup slot, balance, power vs. RHP. Montero bats fourth for a pretty good lineup. Justin Upton is one of the game’s bright young stars and Stephen Drew’s return from injury can only help. Montero can also contribute in three of five categories, and even his runs aren’t terrible for a catcher. Last year Montero hit 18 homers in 493 at-bats, but 17 of those came in just 380 at-bats versus right-handed pitchers. If he had 493 at-bats against righties, that would have worked out to 22 homers.
Weaknesses
SB, vs. LHP. Steals are a weakness for just about every catcher so we can pretty much toss those out. Montero also seems to struggle against left-handed pitchers. This wasn’t the case back in 2009 (.329 BA), which skews the numbers a bit, but in 2010 he batted .213 against lefties and last season he was an abysmal .195.
ADP Report (105.1)
Montero hasn’t ranked this high in terms of overall, end-of-year rank, but his 2011 stat line is extremely repeatable (ranked 128), and he’s one of the last few players you’d want to get at a position that drops off rather sharply. I wouldn’t reach higher than this, but 105 is an acceptable ADP.





