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Daily DraftKings Picks: Tuesday, Aug 26

Yesterday I teased my usual “More Best Values to be posted by 5:30 pm EST!” and then never delivered on my promise. There were also a couple reader comments that I never responded to. This wasn’t for lack of care, but rather due to lack of internet! My connection cut out yesterday for the entire afternoon and evening, leaving me unable to update the post, respond to your comments, or even officially submit a lineup in one of DraftKings’ daily contests. Sorry!

Yesterday I suggested Adam Lind, a Brewers stack, and James Shields. Lind didn’t do a ton, the Brewers stack lit it up (but would have been better with Ryan Braun) and Shields didn’t live up to his potential. That’s about all the feedback on yesterday that I can provide, but we can still look forward to Tuesday’s contests.

Today, as with most days recently, we have some weather concerns. NYY@DET lists a 50% chance of rain with scattered storms in the area, and there are storms in three other cities, but thankfully those stadiums all have retractable roofs! Without further ado, let’s get to Tuesday’s picks.

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Tuesday’s Official DraftKings Lineup

Note: Lineup subject to change due to weather and released MLB lineups. Check back before contest lineups lock for our final lineup.

Shoemaker has had a great turnaround after a slow start to his MLB career. He’s allowed 2 ER or fewer in eight of his last nine starts with 49 K over that span. That’s a 180 K pace over a full season. Recently he’s shut down the Red Sox, the Rangers, the Dodgers, the Rays, the Tigers, and the Astros, most of which are at least above average offenses. Next up are the Marlins, probably the worst offense of that bunch. Shoemaker can have problems with homers, though, and Giancarlo Stanton and Marcell Ozuna have some serious pop. Whether he controls them will dictate how this start goes.

I really like the Giants in their matchup tonight against Jorge De La Rosa. Colorado’s lefty rarely implodes — he’s allowed more than 4 ER in just four starts this season and has done it just twice since April 11 — and this game will be played in San Francisco so in picking so many Giants we assume a large amount of risk, but Posey, Pence, and Sandoval have been on fire and have combined to post good numbers against De La Rosa. Toss in Pagan, and the quartet has gone 32-for-102 (.314) with 12 doubles, 3 HR, 13 BB, and just 11 K.

LA’s Gonzalez is a great value tonight at just $3.6K. He’ll face Trevor Cahill, who’s actually turned in four very good starts in a row, but Gonzalez is slashing .458/.500/.833 in a not-so-insignificant 27 PA against Cahill, not to mention his five hits across the last two games. Gordon will bat ahead of A-Gon and has three steals in nine plate appearances versus Cahill with six hits (including two triples) in his last three games. Gordon is a boom-or-bust player, though.

Safe Matchups for H2H and Double-Up Play

If you only need to finish in the top 50%, safer plays are the way to go.

High-Risk, High-Upside Matchups for Multi-Player Play

You don’t win the big bucks without hitting on a few lottery ticket picks!

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About the author: Bryan is the co-founder of Baseball Professor and works as a consultant specializing in operational metrics and efficiency analysis. When he’s not working, blogging, or tending to basic human needs, he enjoys pondering the vastness of the universe, rewatching episodes of Breaking Bad, and avoiding snakes. (@BaseballProf)

Comments on this entry are closed.

  • gerg

    Any thoughts on Gio Gonzalez and or Alex Wood tonight? Plus a Seattle stack seems pretty sweet tonight as well?

    • aarhiga89

      I don’t like Gio… Looking at some Reds players…

    • http://www.baseballprof.com/ Bryan Curley

      I’m not a big fan of Gio either. Could be pretty great in any one game but far too much inconsistency. I do like Wood, though. Seattle does look like a good stacking opportunity. Full disclosure: Almost went with Cano at 2B but he seemed a little too pricey for me.

  • Chuck410

    What you think about Cobb against the O’s.

    • http://www.baseballprof.com/ Bryan Curley

      Can’t argue with the success he’s had against Baltimore. 27 ground balls to 6 fly balls is ridiculous! That said, $10.3K against Baltimore seems pricey for a pitcher facing a good offense that hit 5 HR yesterday.

      • Chuck410

        Yeah true and Baltimore is my team so my heart always get in the way of going against them. Lol

  • Jecarl2

    I wonder if Duffy can get 6IP in tonight against Min. Everyone is listing him as a good play but his results against the Twins are really underwhelming this year. He hasn’t made it out of the 5th in 3 starts against him, low K totals as well. Vegas loves him and his price is tempting.

    • http://www.baseballprof.com/ Bryan Curley

      Context, my friend!

      Aug 15: 5.1 IP, 2 ER, 79 pitches (he’s normally around 95-105 pitches)
      July 30: 5.2 IP, 1 ER, 6 BB (season high and definite outlier over last couple months)
      Jun 30: 5.2 IP, 1 ER, 0 excuses (he just didn’t go very far)

      Duffy has been on a roll and I see reasons to expect him to go 6+ here.

  • aarhiga89

    Who do you like more: Devin Mesoraco (batting against Travis Wood) or Russell Martin (batting against Lance Lynn)?

    • http://www.baseballprof.com/ Bryan Curley

      Martin since Mesoraco is benched!

      • aarhiga89

        Your thoughts on Brandon Phillips and Todd Frazier?

        • http://www.baseballprof.com/ Bryan Curley

          Meh.

  • aarhiga89

    Would you consider Alexei Ramirez instead of Dee Gordon?

    • http://www.baseballprof.com/ Bryan Curley

      Can’t really compare the two in a vacuum because of price and roster construction considerations — I prefer Gordon.

  • Gerg

    It comes down to Bumgarner and Bonafacio, or Alex Wood and Cano? Its down to the wire.