Yesterday I used the Official Lineup as my entry into Day 2 of the three-day survivor tournament. The lineup scored 129.70 points and finished 118th-of-750, so I’m moving on to the third and final day! Johnny Cueto and Yordano Ventura set the tone with a combined 59.70 points, and we received solid contributions up and down the lineup, save for Colby Rasmus who was a late scratch.
I also constructed an elite pitching, bargain basement offense lineup based around owning Cueto and Clayton Kershaw. That lineup scored 127.10 points and kept pace pretty well. My three lineups from yesterday are below.
A Hutchison-based lineup (left), the Official Lineup (center), and the pitching-based lineup (right)
Today is Day 3 of the survivor tournament where all 150 participants cash and someone will win a $50,000+ prize package to the DraftKings Championship later in the season, so wish me luck! A far as weather goes, SEA@BAL, PHI@WAS, and COL@DET are all listed as having a 40% chance of rain at some point tonight. I won’t let it affect my picks yet, but I’ll monitor each situation.
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Thursday’s Official DraftKings Lineup
Note: Lineup subject to change due to weather and released MLB lineups. Check back before contest lineups lock for our final lineup.
- 1B: Allen Craig (BOS) vs. C. Capuano (NYY) — $3,800
- 2B: Jedd Gyorko (SD) vs. M. Minor (ATL) — $3,400
- 3B: Xander Bogaerts (BOS) vs. C. Capuano (NYY) — $3,400
- SS: Chris Taylor (SEA) @ W. Chen (BAL) — $2,400
- OF: Rajai Davis (DET) vs. F. Morales (COL) — $4,300
- OF: Torii Hunter (DET) vs. F. Morales (COL) — $4,400
- OF: Hidden
- SP: Chris Sale (CHW) vs. L. Darnell (MIN) — $12,600
- SP: Hidden
Sale is pretty much a lock to dominate. In his last five starts the fewest points he’s scored is 22.4 and he’s twice been over 40. One of those 40-point efforts was his last start, which was against these same Twins. It’s tough allocating this much money to a pitcher, but Sale should be good for 25ish points (likely a little more) and hopefully I can pair that with a pitcher in the $6K-$7K range with a 20-point outing as well. I expect Sale to be picked heavily today, but I like a lot of the hitter values so I’m OK spending here.
I’ll have to see today’s Red Sox lineup to know if I’m selecting Craig, but right now I like the idea of him facing the left-handed Chris Capuano in Fenway Park. It’s a new situation so we really don’t know what to expect, but the upside is too high given the price point. I also feel the same about Bogaerts, who’s turned things around over the last few weeks but still sits under $3.5K.
Gyorko has been on a tear since returning from the DL (7-for-14, 2 HR, 1 2B, 2 K) and he’ll draw the left-handed, fly ball-prone Mike Minor. I love picking against Minor, but this game is in San Diego so it’s not ridiculous to think Minor escapes with several warning track fly outs and a solid stat line.
Taylor is just $2.4K (I had to save somewhere!) and represents a phenomenal value. He’s not really a HR threat, but he has a history of fantastic walk rates in the minors with average strikeout rates, he has some speed (20+ SB potential), and he’ll bat right near the top of a lineup with some RBI guys sitting behind him (Robinson Cano, Kyle Seager). Selecting Taylor represents an interesting concept in lineup construction — whether it’s better to spread savings across several lower-priced players or save at once with one really cheap guy. What do you think?
Detroit faces the left-handed Franklin Morales and I really wish I could force Victor Martinez, Miguel Cabrera, J.D. Martinez, etc into today’s lineup. Unfortunately I can’t, not with Sale, but Davis and Hunter are great options themselves. Davis will bat in Detroit’s top two, especially with Austin Jackson gone, and he’s much better against LHP: .373/.404/.578 this year, .303/.340/.462 for his career. For reference, his SLG against LHP for his career is 91 points higher than against RHP. Hunter is having another great, underappreciated season and he’s slashing .313/.333/.495 against LHP this season with consistently more production against southpaws than RHP for his career.
I’m excited for these players today but things may change as I had to leave off a lot of other players I really like!
Safe Matchups for H2H and Double-Up Play
If you only need to finish in the top 50%, safer plays are the way to go.
- C: Stephen Vogt (OAK) vs. J. Guthrie (KC) — $3,800
- C: Carlos Santana (CLE) vs. J. Williams (TEX) — $5,400
- 1B: Anthony Rizzo (CHC) vs. D. Haren (LAD) — $5,500
- 1B: Brandon Moss (OAK) vs. J. Guthrie (KC) — $4,900
- 2B: Daniel Murphy (NYM) vs. R. Vogelsong (SF) — $4,100
- 2B: Jason Kipnis (CLE) vs. J. Williams (TEX) — $4,600
- 3B: James Harrison (PIT) @ V. Nuno (ARI) — $4,300
- 3B: Anthony Rendon (WAS) vs. R. Hernandez (PHI) –$4,500
- SS: Jed Lowrie (OAK) vs. J. Guthrie (KC) — $4,300
- SS: Jimmy Rollins (PHI) @ D. Fister (WAS) — $4,100
- OF: Andrew McCutchen (PIT) @ V. Nuno (ARI) — $5,100
- OF: Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) vs. M. Matos (CIN) — $5,100
- OF: Corey Dickerson (COL) @ J. Verlander (DET) — $4,500
- OF: Adam Jones (BAL) vs. R. Elias (SEA) — $4,800
- OF: Kole Calhoun (LAA) @ J. Hellickson (TB) — $4,300
- SP: Danny Salazar (CLE) vs. J. Williams (TEX) — $7,000
- SP: Sonny Gray (OAK) vs. J. Guthrie (KC) — $9,500
High-Risk, High-Upside Matchups for Multi-Player Play
You don’t win the big bucks without hitting on a few lottery ticket picks!
- C: Mike Zunino (SEA) @ W. Chen (BAL) — $3,200
- C: Evan Gattis (ATL) @ E. Stults (SD) — $4,000
- C: Bryan Holaday (DET) vs. F. Morales (COL) — $2,500
- 1B: Chris Carter (HOU) vs. J. Happ (TOR) — $4,500
- 1B: Paul Konerko (CHW) vs. L. Darnell (MIN) — $3,400
- 2B: Ian Kinsler (DET) vs. F. Morales (COL) — $4,500
- 2B: Dustin Pedroia (BOS) vs. C. Capuano (NYY) — $4,600
- 3B: Will Middlebrooks (BOS) vs. C. Capuano (NYY) — $3,200
- 3B: Matt Dominguez (HOU) vs. J. Happ (TOR) — $3,600
- SS: Jordy Mercer (PIT) @ V. Nuno (ARI) — $3,900
- SS: Mookie Betts (BOS) vs. C. Capuano (NYY) — $3,200
- OF: Justin Upton (ATL) @ E. Stults (KC) — $4,900
- OF: Ben Revere (PHI) @ D. Fister (WAS) — $3,600
- OF: Grady Sizemore (PHI) @ D. Fister (WAS) — $3,100
- OF: Robbie Grossman (HOU) vs. J. Happ (TOR) — $3,300
- OF: Josh Reddick (OAK) vs. J. Guthrie (KC) — $4,200
- SP: Edinson Volquez (PIT) @ V. Nuno (ARI) — $6,100
- SP: Matt Shoemaker (LAA) @ J. Hellickson (TB) — $6,800