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Daily SP Rankings: Thursday, Jul 10

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Our typical shortened MLB Thursday is actually pretty full with 12 games on the schedule. Seattle’s SP is still TBD, but whoever it is will face Yohan Pino and the Twins so there’s a good chance they’ll have a solid outing.

Update: Seattle’s SP will be Tom Wilhelmsen.

  • Speaking of Pino, he’s a fly ball pitcher traveling to Safeco. The Mariners are certainly a better offensive team than they’ve been in years, but if you’re a fly ball pitcher then Safeco is where you want to play. Pending his opponent, this could be a sneaky spot start.
  • Despite getting rocked his last time out (actually his last two times out), Bartolo Colon has been on a pretty good run of late. In each of his prior seven starts he’d allowed no more than 2 ER, and he went 7+ IP in five of them. Atlanta’s offense has a lot of name value but very little actual production. Jacob deGrom certainly can testify to that.
  • The White Sox have struggled against LHP this season, but Fenway Park does a good job of boosting offensive numbers. (It’s misleading to say it increase HR rates, though. Left-handed batters who pull the ball have a much more difficult time.) Lester rates so low in Thursday’s rankings because Steamer projects just a 3.65 ERA the rest of the way. I think he’ll be more around 3.30 so I’d bump him up several spots, probably right there with Homer Bailey against the Cubs.
  • Jose Quintana finds himself buried in the rankings despite pitching well lately and a date against a pitiful Boston lineup on the horizon. The reason? Steamer. They project him for a 3.95 ERA the rest of the way! I think what he’s doing is legit. I’d put him in Thursday’s top 5-7, probably right there with Lester (especially if the Red Sox trot out five rookies again).

For Wednesday’s rankings, click here.

For an explanation of how these rankings were calculated, click here.

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These rankings account for atmospheric conditions with data provided by

VMI-200x200While Park Factors account for the yearly average air density at a ballpark, they don’t account for game-by-game changes, which tracks. With this data, our rankings are now more accurate than ever! If you’re interested in exploring what can do for your fantasy roster, check out their fantasy package.

How to Read These Rankings

  • Rating: 100 is average and higher is better
  • IP/K/ERA/WHIP: Projected stats for the game in question
  • W%/L%: Likelihood of the SP picking up a Win or Loss
  • PTS: Projected points total in daily DraftStreet leagues (where we play)

Trouble viewing the embedded table? Click here to see it!


About the author: Bryan is the co-founder of Baseball Professor and works as a consultant specializing in operational metrics and efficiency analysis. When he’s not working, blogging, or tending to basic human needs, he enjoys pondering the vastness of the universe, rewatching episodes of Breaking Bad, and avoiding snakes. (@BaseballProf)

Comments on this entry are closed.

  • Chris

    Is Quintana really that bad of a matchup tomorrow for the Sox? I was thinking of streaming him.

    • Bryan Curley

      The Sox are starting 5 rookies tonight are in a very odd funk. I’d start almost anyone against them right now.