Baseball Professor header image
≡ Menu

Daily DraftStreet Picks: Friday, Jul 11

When last we spoke on Wednesday, we recommended a fairly hodge podge lineup including a three-player Cleveland stack. Our lineup finished 526th-of-1,650 with 48.50 points in the $3,000 guaranteed contest.

Our three hidden players were Stephen Vogt (8.25 points), Adrian Beltre (2.75 points), and Yordano Ventura (3.50 points).

jul 9

Our lineup (left) compared to the contest champ (right) — Click to enlarge

For Friday, there appears to be clear weather everywhere except in the MIN@COL game, which is interesting because everyone is going to want to stack the Rockies against Kris Johnson. Due to it’s projected popularity and the weather, I’m passing.

Click here to start drafting your teams on DraftStreet!

Click here for our FAQ and disclaimer

Friday’s Official DraftStreet Lineup

Note: Lineup subject to change due to weather and released MLB lineups. Check back before contest lineups lock for our final lineup.

Wheeler will probably be the day’s most popular pitching selection given his stats against the Marlins this season: 3 GS, 21 IP, 1 ER, 9 H, 25 K, 8 BB. That’s a 0.43 ERA and 0.86 WHIP — complete dominance. Bolsinger is cheap and has a 3.47 SIERA, 53.9 GB%, and 20.1 K%. He’s pitched pretty well but doesn’t have the results to show for it. San Francisco has been the league’s worst offense in terms of wOBA over the last two weeks and the game will be played in AT&T Park.

Joseph is cheap and hit well in the minor this year before his promotion, but he currently sits at under .200 with the Orioles. However, he’s hit safely in six of the last seven games. There’s not a ton of upside here, but the cost is very low.

Update: With Joseph out of the lineup, I’m going with Rupp. He strikes out a lot but has a low price tag and decent minor league stats. Really, though, this is about cost.

Nick Tepesch is a fly ball pitcher starting in Arlington, and the Angels offense has been raking at the top for the past month. Pujols and Trout are pricey, but worth it, and Calhoun is surprisingly cheap. I love this three-player selection. I considered a fourth but no one else stuck out to me as a great value.

Update: I saved about $700 moving from Joseph to Rupp and decided to really upgrade my UT spot. That means I had to downgrade somewhere else. Trout was the casualty. In his place is McCutchen, who has similar upside and solid security at a fraction of the price.

Like Tepesch, Noesi is a hittable fly ball pitcher you can stack against. While I won’t endorse a full Indians stack, I do want to get a couple of them in here: Kipnis and Cabrera. After a slow, injury-plagued start, Kipnis is finally coming around. With six multi-hit games in his last nine and five steals in his last three, I’d say he’s healthy and hitting right now. Cabrera is cheap and a good risk against a fly ball pitcher.

If you’re looking for a sneaky stack, how about the Pirates against Mat Latos? Latos has high fly ball rates and is struggling to strike batters out, so I could see a few Pittsburgh homers in this one. For just under $5K, I’ll do with Alvarez at third base.

Safe Matchups for H2H and Double-Up Play

If you only need to finish in the top 50%, safer plays are the way to go.

High-Risk, High-Upside Matchups for Multi-Player Play

You don’t win the big bucks without hitting on a few lottery ticket picks!

facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestlinkedintumblrmail

About the author: Bryan is the co-founder of Baseball Professor and works as a consultant specializing in operational metrics and efficiency analysis. When he’s not working, blogging, or tending to basic human needs, he enjoys pondering the vastness of the universe, rewatching episodes of Breaking Bad, and avoiding snakes. (@BaseballProf)

Comments on this entry are closed.

  • Tyler

    Given their respective splits against left-handed pitching, I’d much rather save $1k and take Hamilton over Calhoun. Other than that, I think you have a really nice lineup. It’ll definitely be interesting to see the owned percentages for players from the Min@Col game. Anytime the chance of rain is at 50% or higher for the entire night, I have to pass. When I first started playing on Draftstreet, I was burned to many times by rainouts to take that risk again

    • http://www.baseballprof.com/ Bryan Curley

      One trick with weather is to go to weather.com and check out the doppler radar. Even if it’s listed at 50-70%, the doppler may show it’s only rain in the area.

      Also, not sure if I misread your comment but Tepesch is a RHP.

  • gerg

    Any thought on a colorado stack tonight? I don’t know to much about Johnson.

    • http://www.baseballprof.com/ Bryan Curley

      Johnson is a candidate to get rocked — essentially a career AAA guy. That said, I’m avoiding Colorado for the reasons stated in the post: weather and the likely popularity of said stack.

  • gerg

    Joseph is not starting

    • http://www.baseballprof.com/ Bryan Curley

      Things will change, then!

  • gerg

    I like the angels stack too much, i added Conger as my catcher. I figure if he can just get on base the big bats should hit him in.