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Daily DraftStreet Picks: Wednesday, Jun 11

Yesterday was  a successful day for Team BaseballProf. Weather and lineup releases forced us to make several late changes to our Official DraftStreet Lineup, but in the end we scored 61.25 points, finished 106th-of-1,100 in the $5,000 guaranteed contest, and won all of our double-ups. No one was great (except Wilin Rosario) but everyone contributed (even though Justin Upton left the game after his first at-bat).

Our three hidden players were Mike Trout (5.75 points), Justin Upton (2.50 points), and Jake Odorizzi (9.33 points).

June 19

Yesterday’s lineup (left) compared to the contest champ (right) — Click to enlarge

Tonight we have weather concerns with a likely delay/cancellation with the CHC@PIT game, and weather mars a few other games, most notably the LAD@CIN game.

Stay tuned for any updates/changes , but without further ado, today’s picks!

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Wednesday’s Official DraftStreet Lineup

Note: Lineup subject to change due to weather and released MLB lineups. Check back before contest lineups lock.

I’m not overly enamored with many of the mid-priced SP today, so I’ll pay the price for premier pitchers in great matchups and then roll the dice with a very cost-efficient pitcher in my P slot. Darvish is facing the Marlins and Hamels is facing the Padres. There’s not much analysis needed here.

Molina has been very frustrating to own lately, but he has great career numbers against Erik Bedard — 6-for-11, 3 doubles, 2 HR — and Bedard is prone to homers because of his fly ball tendencies.

Tommy Milone is a great value pitcher when pitching at home. Tonight he’s on the road against an Angels offense that has had a lot of success against him. Better yet, the Angels sluggers in my lineup are universally affordable right now, even Trout who can be had for under $9K! Trout, Pujols, Kendrick, and Hamilton all have 10+ point potential today. I expect this group to score nearly 30 points (or more).

Weather could hinder my Cozart selection, which is almost purely a cost-saving measure. At the very least Cozart doesn’t strike out often.

Update: Indeed, weather in Cincinnati caused me enough to concern to upgrade to Detroit’s Suarez. He’ll likely bat ninth, which I don’t like, but he demonstrated solid K rates and great BB rates in the minors, and in the last three years he’s batted .325 (2012), .280 (2013), and .388 (2014) against LHP (all in the minors). That .388 mark this year also comes with 8 HR in just 80 AB.

Nava is cheap and has rebounded over the last week or two after getting recalled from AAA. He was a very effective player last season so I’m inclined to believe his recent lukewarm streak is legit. He’s also hit Wei-Yin Chen well for his career — 7-for-13 with 1 HR.

Update: Nava didn’t crack Boston’s starting lineup, but Grichuk made St. Louis’ and he’ll be batting second. Like Suarez, he’s performed well against LHP in the minors and Bedard isn’t the toughest opponent. Even better, he’ll add another Cardinal to my lineup.

Safe Matchups for H2H and Double-Up Play

If you only need to finish in the top 50%, safer plays are the way to go.

High-Risk, High-Upside Matchups for Multi-Player Play

You don’t win the big bucks without hitting on a few lottery ticket picks!

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About the author: Bryan is the co-founder of Baseball Professor and works as a consultant specializing in operational metrics and efficiency analysis. When he’s not working, blogging, or tending to basic human needs, he enjoys pondering the vastness of the universe, rewatching episodes of Breaking Bad, and avoiding snakes. (@BaseballProf)

Comments on this entry are closed.

  • gerg

    You are going with a relief pitcher today? I find it hard to pick the right RP.

    • http://www.baseballprof.com/ Bryan Curley

      Not necessarily…

      • gerg

        Nava is not playing tonight.

  • Jerreyy

    Rizzo, Rios, Craig, Utley, Napoli, Austin Jackson are great picks today.

    I like me some Utley today for cheap.

    Cozart is an extremely gutsy play for you guys tonight, but I guess he’s the best option for cheap since you are stacking on expensive pitching.

    Also, no love for Roark? C’mon, man!

    • http://www.baseballprof.com/ Bryan Curley

      Who said I wasn’t loving Roark?! Just because I didn’t pick him doesn’t mean I don’t think he’s one of the better options (albeit a risky one).

      • Jerreyy

        Yea, I’m just ass-u-ming.

        Also, Rizzo is off b/c of the weather.

  • Jerreyy

    I forgot to add that Choo is absolutely terrible. I feel bad for whoever actually puts the guy in their lineups.

    Choo couldn’t hit the Pacific Ocean with his bat if he were standing right next to it.

    • http://www.baseballprof.com/ Bryan Curley

      Thankfully Jacob Turner is pretty terrible, too. Kidding aside, Choo isn’t terrible at all. He’s just slumping. All of his peripherals look the same as last year, he’s just being a little too patient. Fact: He hasn’t hit an infield fly ball all season. Only 7 of 170 qualifying batters can say that.

    • http://www.baseballprof.com/ Bryan Curley

      Haha good timing!

      • Jerreyy

        LOL!

        I’m an expert in the reverse-jinx.