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Daily DraftStreet Picks: Wednesday, May 28

Yesterday was a solid day for Team BaseballProf as our Official Lineup posted 60.50 points. It won almost all of the double-ups we entered but fell short in the GPPs (470-of-2,200 in the $4,000 guaranteed contest).

Our three hidden players were Marc Krauss (0.00 points), Jedd Gyorko (-1.50 points), and Zack Greinke (15.67 points). I’m very disappointed in my hitter selections as I watched Krauss swing over Jeremy Guthrie two-seamers time and time again, and Gyorko fanned twice in the desert. Manny Machado, who was supposed to separate me at third base, did nothing whereas Chris Johnson and Evan Longoria posted positive days.

Here’s one last look at yesterday’s team before we move forward.

May 27

Our team (left) compared to the contest champ (right) — (Click to enlarge)

Today we have three early games removed from the late-game lineup — PIT@NYM, HOU@KC, CHC@SF — and we have questionable weather in a few other games — MIA@WAS, COL@PHI, NYY@STL.

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Wednesday’s Official DraftStreet Lineup

Kershaw requires no explaining. He’s a bargain at $23K, which is something I’ve never said in two months of these posts. Cincy’s offense is hurting and they’re the league’s worst against left-handed pitchers. And it’s in LA. Win-win-win. Lyles faces a bottom-third Philadelphia offense and has been pretty good in his last few starts scoring 8.25 (@ATL), -3.67 (vs SD), 12.00 (@CIN), 11.00 (TEX). We’ll pretend the San Diego start never happened. I’ll pay $11K for Lyles and hope to get 7+ points while saving some money. Warning, though — bad weather looks like it might roll in after 9:00 pm EST, so hopefully either the weather holds off or Lyles is efficient.

Hector Noesi is probably the most vulnerable pitcher on the slate today, so I had to get at least one Indian in there. Gomes hasn’t been hitting very much of late, recording zero extra base hits and just four singles in his last five games, but how many times have you see a player have a slump-busting game for someone else? Noesi allows a lot of fly balls and is pitching in a homer-friendly park. Gomes has 20-homer power. For the price, it’s a decent gamble.

Homer Bailey‘s issues this year are well-documented. Gonzalez and Puig will bat 2-3 in LA’s lineup with Gonzalez going 10-for-21 (.476) with an amazing 5 HR in his career versus Bailey and Puig going 10-for-23 (.435) with a homer during the last week.

Boston’s bats seem to have stirred a little in the last two games. Pedroia hasn’t found his power stroke this season, but he’s scored 6.25 and 7.00 points in his last two games and has struck out just once in 24 PA against Gavin Floyd (even though he’s only tallied five singles and one double). Bogaerts is priced at just $5K and is 9-for-19 (.310) with three doubles and a homer in the last week.

Liam Hendriks will take the mound for the Blue Jays, so I wanted to get a couple Rays in my lineup tonight. Longoria and DeJesus are my guys as they’ll bat 1-2 in Tampa Bay’s order. DeJesus is a pretty good hitter against right-handed pitching with 5 HR and just 21 K to 15 BB, and he should be on base a few times tonight for the rest of the Rays lineup to drive him home. Longoria hasn’t really broke out yet, but he’s cobbling together good games here and there. He’s hit safely in six straight, tallying 11 hits over that span with 1 HR. Best of all, Hendriks is a low-K, fly ball pitcher. That makes him very likely to give up some homers, and when he’s inevitably chased from the game he’ll give way to a Jays bullpen that ranks last in the majors in ERA over the last 30 days. In other versions of my lineup, I’ll work in a few more Rays.

Safe Matchups for H2H and Double-Up Play

If you only need to finish in the top 50%, safer plays are the way to go.

High-Risk, High-Upside Matchups for Multi-Player Play

You don’t win the big bucks without hitting on a few lottery ticket picks!

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About the author: Bryan is the co-founder of Baseball Professor and works as a consultant specializing in operational metrics and efficiency analysis. When he’s not working, blogging, or tending to basic human needs, he enjoys pondering the vastness of the universe, rewatching episodes of Breaking Bad, and avoiding snakes. (@BaseballProf)

Comments on this entry are closed.

  • will_lloyd

    I’m going CLE and TOR heavy today.

    CLE Stack
    C Chris Gimenez $4754
    1B Adam Lind $4715
    2B Gordon Beckett $5160
    3B Lonnie Chisenhall $5455
    SS Everth Cabrera $5804
    OF Michael Brantley $9134
    OF David Murphy $5715
    OF MIchael Bourn $5244
    U Juan Francisco $6043
    SP CJ WIlson $20669
    SP John Lackey $15936
    P Jordan Lyles $11010

    TOR Stack
    C Chris Gimenez $4754
    1B Adam Lind $4715
    2B Gordon Beckett $5160
    3B Juan Francisco $6043
    SS Asrubal Cabrera $5984
    OF Michael Brantley $9134
    OF David Murphy $5715
    OF Melky Cabrera $7942
    U Edwin Encarnacion $9797
    SP Gavin Floyd $13798 (hoping for Ks)
    SP John Lackey $15936
    P Jordan Lyles $11010

    • http://www.baseballprof.com/ Bryan Curley

      Both solid entries, though I’m avoiding non-Adam Lind Blue Jays today. No real reason…just the price I guess. Good luck!

  • gerg

    I’m going with Chase Anderson tonight, I’m thinking I might be better off just picking a reliever?

  • gerg

    Wednesday was bizzaro day in fantasy, Noesi, Hendricks, what was going on?

    • Mabeh Al-Zuq Yadeek

      Ha! I agree, you never know in fantasy baseball. Kershaw not getting a win against a struggling offense? What a way to spend $10,000 of your $35,000 salary.

      Thankfully, I decided not to play yesterday because of the murky matchups.

      • gerg

        Ya my gut told me not to play yesterday, I should have listened I took a beating!