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Player Profile #28: Evan Longoria | 3B | TB

Evan Longoria is the king of consistency, but the one area that he’s struggled in is his health. It was all good for 2013 though, as he set career highs with 160 games and 693 PA.

With Longoria it’s pretty much “what you see is what you get” as his rate stats have been remarkably consistent. Let’s take a look at his batted ball rates throughout his career why don’t we?

longoria_battedball

Looks more like the Midwest rather than the Rocky Mountains.

You can easily see that there aren’t a lot of peaks and valleys there. For his career, Longoria has basically stayed around league average and he hits plenty of flyballs, which is good for his power production. His batted ball profile has led to a career .305 BABIP, which is right around league average.

Longoria used to have the makings of a potential .290-.300 hitter, but as long as he keeps his strikeout rate above 20% we’ll be seeing him more in the .270 range, which is perfectly fine if he can maintain those sweet power numbers.

Now, about Longoria’s power. The following spray chart shows his great ability to spread the ball to all fields — especially when he hits it in the air.

longoria_spraychart

It’s common knowledge that if a hitter can hit for power to all fields he is less susceptible to power droughts. As long as Longoria can keep putting up 30+ HR seasons he should be a safe bet for 190 R+RBI and a .270 BA, which is a great line given that third base is somewhat lacking in offense.

At A Glance

  • Strengths: HR, OBP, SLG, OPS, BB, 2B
  • Neutral: R, RBI, BA, K, 3B
  • Weaknesses: SB

Players With Similar Fantasy Value

2014 Fantasy Baseball Projection

2014 Projection: 686 PA, 87 R, 34 HR, 96 RBI, 3 SB, .277 BA

Overall Rank: 28 | 3B Rank: 5

A common saying in fantasy baseball is “your league isn’t won in the first couple of rounds, but it can be lost.”

How’s that for some pretty dull analysis? Sometimes dull can be good, especially when talking about the elite players. A common saying in fantasy baseball is “your league isn’t won in the first couple of rounds, but it can be lost.” Longoria is the perfect fit for this motto as he’s the perfect “plug and play” option at third base.

While his health has been a concern in the recent past, the Rays success has a lot to do with whether Longoria is on the field so you can expect plenty of games at DH and/or first base.

2015 & Beyond

Longoria is still under 30 years old so he still has some of his prime years left. While he’s still an elite third baseman defensively, his future will be at first base so it’s something to have in the back of your mind in any long-term dynasty format.

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