Matt Holliday is one of my perennial favorites because he seems to slip in draft because of his “aging” status. His value doesn’t rest in his flashiness it’s all about consistency with him. Every year he’s a lock for 90+ runs, 25+ homers, 100+ RBI and a near-.300 average. The age has sapped his foot speed so he won’t be stealing enough to matter, but four out of five categories ain’t too shabby.
His peripheral stats are amazingly consistent from year to year as his walk rate is always around 10-11% and his BABIP is always around .330. He has increased the strikeouts a bit the last two years, which is an explanation as to why he’s gone from a .315 hitter to a .295, but we aren’t here to pick nits.
At 33, Holliday has definitely already seen his best years of baseball, but that doesn’t mean he can’t produce at a high level for the next one or two years. The Cardinals still have a solid lineup around him and he will be batting in the meat of the order.
At a Glance
- Strengths: HR, RBI, OBP, SLG
- Neutral: R, BA
- Weaknesses: SB
- Best-case scenario: Evan Longoria (TB)
- Likely scenario: Adam Jones (BAL), Jay Bruce (CIN), Jayson Heyward (ATL) w/o SB
- Worst-case scenario: Hunter Pence (SF)
Matt Holliday 2013 Fantasy Projection
There isn’t much to say about Holliday other than you should expect much of the same in 2013. Much like Paul Konerko, Holliday is a player I don’t mind be a year late jumping off the bandwagon because odds are you will get a couple years of discounted top-tier production.
According to Yahoo! ADPs, Holliday is currently going 43.9 overall, which is a very good value for a player who can put up the four-category production that he is capable of. The only thing that could get in Holliday’s way is an injury and sometimes that doesn’t even do the trick. Holliday is as gritty as they come.