Lance Lynn is 2013’s candidate for “Best Starting Pitcher Who Might Not End Up Starting Games.” Last year Lynn surprised us all to the tune of a 17-5 record in the rotation with a 3.67 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, and 174 strikeouts in 169 innings. Of course, Lynn started strong, pitching to a 2.54 ERA over his first 10 starts and just a 4.40 ERA over his next 10, but overall he was a better option than Jake Westbrook and Jaime Garcia for the vast majority of the season.
So will Lynn earn a rotation spot out of spring training? He should, but wait and see.
At a Glance
- Strengths: W, K, K/9, QS
- Neutral: ERA, WHIP, BB
- Weanesses: uncertainty
- Best-case scenario: Yovani Gallardo (MIL)
- Likely scenario: Jeff Samardzija (CHC), Matt Moore (TB), Tim Lincecum (SF)
- Worst-case scenario: splits time in the bullpen
Lance Lynn 2013 Fantasy Projection
Lynn is a risky player to draft this year. He’s not guaranteed a starting spot in the rotation because of the many other options the Cardinals have, but Lynn is certainly good enough to stick in the rotation and thrive there.
The worst case scenario is that Lynn ends up in the bullpen out of spring training, but that assumes the health of both Chris Carpenter and Jaime Garcia, something that’s far from certain, and the development of Shelby Miller into a major league-ready rotation option.
The best case scenario is that Lynn forces St. Louis’ hand, earns a spot in the rotation, and the team either waits on Miller or tries to move Westbrook. Everyone wants pitching depth so I have a hard time imagining Westbrook going anywhere, especially with Kyle Lohse gone this year.
But when Lynn is starting games, he’s quietly pretty darn good.