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Player Profile #176: Andrelton Simmons | SS | ATL

Best known for his glove, Andrelton Simmons projects to be a valuable offensive weapon, too. A career .299 hitter in 930 minor league at-bats, Simmons rarely struck out and stole a good number of bases (54). Unfortunately, his steal success rate was pretty terrible (54-for-78, 69.2%) but much of that was due to an abysmal 26-for-44 showing (59.1%) in high-A ball.

Simmons is a skinny guy at 6’2, 170 pounds, but he did manage three homers in 49 games for the Braves last year. He could threaten double-digit homers as soon as this season, and if he can post a modest .270+ batting average with 20+ steals, that should all add up to a surprisingly solid season at a perennially shallow fantasy position.

176_andrelton_simmons

At a Glance

  • Strengths: BA, SB
  • Neutral: R, CS, SLG, OPS
  • Weaknesses: HR, RBI, OBP

Player Comparisons

Andrelton Simmons 2013 Fantasy Projection

For Simmons, it all comes down to his batting average and stolen bases. Given his above average speed and great contact skills, I think he’ll have an easy time putting up a solid batting average, and his all-world glove will keep him in the lineup every day unless his bat is just putrid (which it won’t be). That’ll mean a lot of at-bats and plenty of chances to pad his counting stats, but batting eighth for the Braves (in front of the pitcher) will hurt his fantasy value.

In OBP leagues, Simmons loses a little value. He’s never really shown the tendency to walk, and last year his .289 average and 6.6 BB% led to just a .335 OBP. He does have high-average potential, which could counteract his trouble taking free passes and make him league-average in OBP, but that’s the best he’ll be.

In leagues that count defense, Simmons gets a big boost. Last year he made just three errors in 49 games, about one-third of a full season. Last year shortstops made approximately 0.119 errors per nine innings. Simmons made just 0.063 errors per nine innings. That’s half as many (53.3% as many to be specific).

Bonus Video Section

This video was pretty entertaining. Enjoy!

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About the author: Bryan is the co-founder of Baseball Professor and works as a consultant specializing in operational metrics and efficiency analysis. When he’s not working, blogging, or tending to basic human needs, he enjoys pondering the vastness of the universe, rewatching episodes of Breaking Bad, and avoiding snakes. (@BaseballProf)

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